format_list_numbered #1 Esper counterspell
Deny the Witch card art
Live Play Data

Deny the Witch

{1} {W} {U} {B} · Instant · Warhammer 40,000 Commander (40K)
2%
Live Inclusion
Times Brought
257
Decks Running
140
Median Cast Turn
10
Drawn → Played
60%
Format

First-cast turn

n=37
3%
T1
0%
T2
0%
T3
0%
T4
3%
T5
38%
T6-9
57%
T10+
Median 10 P25 8 · P75 11 · max 17
On curve 3% (0 / 37 cast on T4) Cast same turn as drawn 14%

The "good card" funnel

257 brought · 141 players
Brought to game
257
Ever drawn
62
Reached battlefield
37
Still on board at game end
4
≥ -16.8pp

Players who cast this card win 22% of the time (n=30) , vs 23% when it never left the library (n=160).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 32% (n=22).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap -1.5pp; 95% confidence interval -16.8pp to +13.8pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

67 instances
6.0%
Battlefield
49.3%
Graveyard
3.0%
Exile
41.8%
Hand

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games
Card text
Deny the Witch card

Deny the Witch

{1} {W} {U} {B}
Instant
Counter target spell, activated ability, or triggered ability. Its controller loses life equal to the number of creatures you control.
Warhammer 40,000 Commander (40K) · Uncommon · Illustrated by Games Workshop

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 770,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.