Descent into Avernus
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Descent into Avernus
Final zone distribution
177 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Smaug the Magnificent
25 decks
-
2
Jaws, Relentless Predator
22 decks
-
3
Kratos, God of War
18 decks
-
4
Smaug the Impenetrable
15 decks
-
5
Kibo, Uktabi Prince
14 decks
-
6
Abaddon the Despoiler
13 decks
-
7
Evereth, Viceroy of Plunder
12 decks
-
8
Indoraptor, the Perfect Hybrid
12 decks
-
9
Obeka, Splitter of Seconds
12 decks
-
10
Mr. House, President and CEO
10 decks
The "good card" funnel
821 brought · 377 playersOnce cast, 87% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 25% of the time (n=85) , vs 27% when it never left the library (n=511).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 23% (n=43).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap -1.6pp; 95% confidence interval -7.4pp to +4.2pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.