collections_bookmark Part of Outlaws of Thunder Junction
Desert of the True card art
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Desert of the True

Land — Desert · Outlaws of Thunder Junction Commander (OTC)
1%
Decklist Inclusion
Times Brought
115
Decks Running
62
In Decks
546
Decklist Inclusion
1%
Format

Final zone distribution

36 instances
41.7%
Battlefield
36.1%
Graveyard
8.3%
Exile
13.9%
Hand

The "good card" funnel

115 brought · 59 players
Brought to game
115
Ever drawn
35
Reached battlefield
24
Still on board at game end
15

Once cast, 63% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -17.4pp

Players who cast this card win 20% of the time (n=24) , vs 20% when it never left the library (n=66).

Observed gap -0.7pp; 95% confidence interval -17.4pp to +16.0pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

First-cast turn

n=24
29%
T1
8%
T2
4%
T3
8%
T4
13%
T5
29%
T6-9
8%
T10+
Median 4.5 P25 1 · P75 8 · max 14
Cast same turn as drawn 64%
24 of 100 times cast 24%

Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Basic play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games; the full deep-dive page needs a larger, more diverse sample (at least 300 tracked games played by 10 or more different pilots, with no single pilot over 40 percent of the copies). Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 640,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.