Live Play Data

Doom Whisperer

· Creature — Nightmare Demon · Murders at Karlov Manor Commander (MKC)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

501

Decks Running

234

Median Cast Turn

6.5

Drawn → Played

68%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=76

20%

63%

T6-9

T10+

Median 6.5 P25 5 · P75 8 · max 12

On curve 29% (15 / 76 cast on T5) Cast same turn as drawn 35%

The "good card" funnel

501 brought · 216 players

Brought to game

501

Ever drawn

112

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 62% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -1.2pp

Players who cast this card win 36% of the time (n=69) , vs 26% when it never left the library (n=316).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 12% (n=32).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +10.1pp; 95% confidence interval -1.2pp to +21.4pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

142 instances

2.1%

Library

33.1%

Battlefield

31.0%

Graveyard

12.0%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

Card text

Doom Whisperer

Creature — Nightmare Demon

Flying, trample Pay 2 life: Surveil 2. (Look at the top two cards of your library, then put any number of them into your graveyard and the rest on top of your library in any order.)

6 / 6

Murders at Karlov Manor Commander (MKC) · Mythic · Illustrated by Vincent Proce

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 690,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.