Live Play Data
Dowsing Dagger // Lost Vale
Artifact — Equipment // Land
·
Ixalan (XLN)
1%
Live Inclusion
Times Brought
535
Decks Running
280
Median Cast Turn
5.0
Drawn → Played
71%
Format
First-cast turn
n=94
4%
T1
15%
T2
11%
T3
11%
T4
12%
T5
41%
T6-9
6%
T10+
Median
5.0
P25
3
· P75
7
· max
14
On curve
19%
(14 / 94 cast on T2)
Cast same turn as drawn
37%
The "good card" funnel
536 brought · 252 playersBrought to game
536
Ever drawn
133
Reached battlefield
94
Still on board at game end
80
Once cast, 85% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
≥ -4.4pp
Players who cast this card win 34% of the time (n=84) , vs 27% when it never left the library (n=334).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 31% (n=34).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +6.2pp; 95% confidence interval -4.4pp to +16.8pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.
Final zone distribution
154 instances2.6%
Library
51.9%
Battlefield
22.1%
Graveyard
5.8%
Exile
Commanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Jin Sakai, Ghost of Tsushima
18 decks
-
2
Kambal, Profiteering Mayor
13 decks
-
3
Ekthi, Contaminator Priest
12 decks
-
4
Giada, Font of Hope
12 decks
-
5
Esika, God of the Tree // The Prismatic Bridge
9 decks
-
6
Satoru Umezawa
8 decks
-
7
Alela, Cunning Conqueror
7 decks
-
8
Noctis, Heir Apparent
6 decks
-
9
Olinda the Oblivious
6 decks
-
10
Arna Kennerüd, Skycaptain
5 decks
Card text
Dowsing Dagger
Artifact — Equipment
When this Equipment enters, target opponent creates two 0/2 green Plant creature tokens with defender.
Equipped creature gets +2/+1.
Whenever equipped creature deals combat damage to a player, you may transform this Equipment.
Equip 
Lost Vale
Land
(Transforms from Dowsing Dagger.)
: Add three mana of any one color.
Ixalan (XLN)
·
Rare
·
Illustrated by Florian de Gesincourt
Frequently Asked
Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 710,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.