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Dragonhawk, Fate's Tempest card art
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Dragonhawk, Fate's Tempest

{3} {R} {R} · Legendary Creature — Bird Dragon · Bloomburrow (BLB)
Times Brought
215
Decks Running
96
In Decks
Decklist Inclusion
Format

Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.

Card text
Dragonhawk, Fate's Tempest card

Dragonhawk, Fate's Tempest

{3} {R} {R}
Legendary Creature — Bird Dragon
Flying Whenever Dragonhawk enters or attacks, exile the top X cards of your library, where X is the number of creatures you control with power 4 or greater. You may play those cards until your next end step. At the beginning of your next end step, Dragonhawk deals 2 damage to each opponent for each of those cards that are still exiled.
5 / 5
Bloomburrow (BLB) · Mythic · Illustrated by Victor Adame Minguez

Final zone distribution

52 instances
1.9%
Library
48.1%
Battlefield
19.2%
Graveyard
3.8%
Exile

The "good card" funnel

215 brought · 91 players
Brought to game
215
Ever drawn
49
Reached battlefield
32
Still on board at game end
25

Once cast, 72% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ +2.9pp

Players who cast this card win 38% of the time (n=25) , vs 26% when it never left the library (n=130).

Observed gap +12.4pp; 95% confidence interval +2.9pp to +21.9pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

First-cast turn

n=32
0%
T1
0%
T2
19%
T3
22%
T4
22%
T5
38%
T6-9
0%
T10+
Median 5.0 P25 4 · P75 7 · max 8
On curve 63% (7 / 32 cast on T5) Cast same turn as drawn 28%
32 of 100 times cast 32%

Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Basic play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games; the full deep-dive page needs a larger, more diverse sample (at least 300 tracked games played by 10 or more different pilots, with no single pilot over 40 percent of the copies). Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 660,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.