Dragonhawk, Fate's Tempest
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Dragonhawk, Fate's Tempest
Final zone distribution
168 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Lathliss, Dragon Queen
161 decks
-
2
The Ur-Dragon
57 decks
-
3
Ureni of the Unwritten
25 decks
-
4
Miirym, Sentinel Wyrm
18 decks
-
5
Fire Lord Zuko
13 decks
-
6
Rivaz of the Claw
7 decks
-
7
Ruby, Daring Tracker
6 decks
-
8
The Muckslinger Gang
6 decks
-
9
Kaalia of the Vast
5 decks
-
10
Eshki, Temur's Roar
3 decks
The "good card" funnel
796 brought · 363 playersOnce cast, 65% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 34% of the time (n=76) , vs 24% when it never left the library (n=425).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 22% (n=38).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +10.3pp; 95% confidence interval +4.6pp to +16.1pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.