Live Play Data

Dragonmaster Outcast

· Creature — Human Shaman · Tarkir: Dragonstorm Commander (TDC)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

1288

Decks Running

602

Median Cast Turn

Drawn → Played

82%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=227

22%

11%

10%

33%

T6-9

T10+

Median 5 P25 2 · P75 7 · max 14

On curve 22% (51 / 227 cast on T1) Cast same turn as drawn 57%

The "good card" funnel

1288 brought · 558 players

Brought to game

1288

Ever drawn

276

Reached battlefield

227

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 39% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -5.6pp

Players who cast this card win 24% of the time (n=203) , vs 24% when it never left the library (n=831).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 26% (n=41).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +0.6pp; 95% confidence interval -5.6pp to +6.8pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

305 instances

4.3%

Library

29.2%

Battlefield

45.6%

Graveyard

6.9%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

Card text

Dragonmaster Outcast

Creature — Human Shaman

At the beginning of your upkeep, if you control six or more lands, create a 5/5 red Dragon creature token with flying.

1 / 1

Tarkir: Dragonstorm Commander (TDC) · Mythic · Illustrated by Raymond Swanland

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 730,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.