Live Play Data

Eerie Ultimatum

· Sorcery · Ikoria: Lair of Behemoths (IKO)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

517

Decks Running

229

Median Cast Turn

Drawn → Played

50%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=59

12%

56%

T6-9

31%

T10+

Median 8 P25 8 · P75 10 · max 13

On curve 24% (4 / 59 cast on T7) Cast same turn as drawn 37%

The "good card" funnel

518 brought · 220 players

Brought to game

518

Ever drawn

119

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

≥ +5.8pp

Players who cast this card win 46% of the time (n=53) , vs 27% when it never left the library (n=323).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 18% (n=56).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +19.3pp; 95% confidence interval +5.8pp to +32.8pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

147 instances

4.1%

Library

8.8%

Battlefield

39.5%

Graveyard

7.5%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Betor, Ancestor's Voice 21 decks
2 Go-Shintai of Life's Origin 14 decks
3 Esika, God of the Tree // The Prismatic Bridge 12 decks
4 Felothar the Steadfast 12 decks
5 Nethroi, Apex of Death 12 decks
6 The Necrobloom 12 decks
7 The Ur-Dragon 10 decks
8 Jodah, Archmage Eternal 9 decks
9 Tom Bombadil 9 decks
10 Terra, Magical Adept // Esper Terra 8 decks

Card text

Eerie Ultimatum

Sorcery

Return any number of permanent cards with different names from your graveyard to the battlefield.

Ikoria: Lair of Behemoths (IKO) · Rare · Illustrated by Jason A. Engle

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 680,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.