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Elspeth, Sun's Champion

· Legendary Planeswalker — Elspeth · Murders at Karlov Manor Commander (MKC)

Decklist Inclusion

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Times Brought

667

Decks Running

327

In Decks

2610

Decklist Inclusion

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

Card text

Elspeth, Sun's Champion

Legendary Planeswalker — Elspeth

+1: Create three 1/1 white Soldier creature tokens. −3: Destroy all creatures with power 4 or greater. −7: You get an emblem with "Creatures you control get +2/+2 and have flying."

Loyalty 4

Murders at Karlov Manor Commander (MKC) · Mythic · Illustrated by Eric Deschamps

Final zone distribution

177 instances

4.5%

Library

34.5%

Battlefield

26.6%

Graveyard

5.6%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Zinnia, Valley's Voice 42 decks
2 Commodore Guff 19 decks
3 Atraxa, Praetors' Voice 14 decks
4 Arabella, Abandoned Doll 13 decks
5 Baylen, the Haymaker 13 decks
6 Caesar, Legion's Emperor 12 decks
7 Nelly Borca, Impulsive Accuser 12 decks
8 Darien, King of Kjeldor 8 decks
9 Myrel, Shield of Argive 8 decks
10 Esika, God of the Tree // The Prismatic Bridge 7 decks

The "good card" funnel

667 brought · 286 players

Brought to game

667

Ever drawn

162

Reached battlefield

100

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 61% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ +2.6pp

Players who cast this card win 34% of the time (n=95) , vs 22% when it never left the library (n=444).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 20% (n=57) — about the same as leaving it in the library. Those players survived long enough to draw it, so the gap above is about the card resolving, not just about surviving.

Observed gap +11.8pp; 95% confidence interval +2.6pp to +21.0pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

First-cast turn

n=100

13%

60%

T6-9

20%

T10+

Median 7.0 P25 6 · P75 9 · max 16

On curve 39% (19 / 100 cast on T6) Cast same turn as drawn 27%

651 of 300 tracked games 99%

Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Basic play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games; the full deep-dive page needs a larger, more diverse sample (at least 300 tracked games played by 10 or more different pilots, with no single pilot over 40 percent of the copies). Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 660,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.