Live Play Data

Elspeth, Sun's Champion

· Legendary Planeswalker — Elspeth · Murders at Karlov Manor Commander (MKC)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

1017

Decks Running

488

Median Cast Turn

7.0

Drawn → Played

65%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=162

14%

63%

T6-9

15%

T10+

Median 7.0 P25 6 · P75 9 · max 16

On curve 42% (33 / 162 cast on T6) Cast same turn as drawn 26%

The "good card" funnel

1017 brought · 427 players

Brought to game

1017

Ever drawn

248

Reached battlefield

162

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 60% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ +8.0pp

Players who cast this card win 39% of the time (n=153) , vs 23% when it never left the library (n=666).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 28% (n=78).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +15.8pp; 95% confidence interval +8.0pp to +23.6pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

264 instances

4.2%

Library

37.1%

Battlefield

27.7%

Graveyard

5.7%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Zinnia, Valley's Voice 52 decks
2 Commodore Guff 29 decks
3 Atraxa, Praetors' Voice 22 decks
4 Caesar, Legion's Emperor 18 decks
5 Baylen, the Haymaker 16 decks
6 Nelly Borca, Impulsive Accuser 16 decks
7 Arabella, Abandoned Doll 14 decks
8 Esika, God of the Tree // The Prismatic Bridge 14 decks
9 Myrel, Shield of Argive 14 decks
10 Darien, King of Kjeldor 11 decks

Card text

Elspeth, Sun's Champion

Legendary Planeswalker — Elspeth

+1: Create three 1/1 white Soldier creature tokens. −3: Destroy all creatures with power 4 or greater. −7: You get an emblem with "Creatures you control get +2/+2 and have flying."

Loyalty 4

Murders at Karlov Manor Commander (MKC) · Mythic · Illustrated by Eric Deschamps

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 690,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.