Elspeth, Sun's Champion
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Elspeth, Sun's Champion
Final zone distribution
340 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Jace, Multiverse Architect
248 decks
-
2
Zinnia, Valley's Voice
74 decks
-
3
Tam, the Possibility
47 decks
-
4
Commodore Guff
29 decks
-
5
Atraxa, Praetors' Voice
22 decks
-
6
Esika, God of the Tree // The Prismatic Bridge
22 decks
-
7
Arabella, Abandoned Doll
16 decks
-
8
Myrel, Shield of Argive
15 decks
-
9
Baylen, the Haymaker
14 decks
-
10
Whtz, the Bibliophile
12 decks
The "good card" funnel
1529 brought · 720 playersOnce cast, 61% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 34% of the time (n=160) , vs 26% when it never left the library (n=867).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 26% (n=93).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +7.6pp; 95% confidence interval +3.6pp to +11.6pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.