Fate Unraveler
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Fate Unraveler
Final zone distribution
149 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Valgavoth, Harrower of Souls
140 decks
-
2
Nekusar, the Mindrazer
95 decks
-
3
Sheoldred, the Apocalypse
67 decks
-
4
Winter, Misanthropic Guide
10 decks
-
5
Mogis, God of Slaughter
9 decks
-
6
The Lord of Pain
7 decks
-
7
Daxos the Returned
4 decks
-
8
Horobi, Death's Wail
4 decks
-
9
Queza, Augur of Agonies
4 decks
-
10
Aminatou, Veil Piercer
3 decks
The "good card" funnel
752 brought · 360 playersOnce cast, 70% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 29% of the time (n=80) , vs 22% when it never left the library (n=419).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 19% (n=28).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +7.0pp; 95% confidence interval +1.0pp to +12.9pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.