Live Play Data

Fateful Discovery

· Enchantment · The Hobbit (HOB)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

262

Decks Running

135

Median Cast Turn

6.0

Drawn → Played

63%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=42

10%

19%

57%

T6-9

T10+

Median 6.0 P25 5 · P75 8 · max 12

On curve 38% (8 / 42 cast on T5) Cast same turn as drawn 31%

The "good card" funnel

262 brought · 122 players

Brought to game

262

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 76% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ +12.8pp

Players who cast this card win 49% of the time (n=37) , vs 20% when it never left the library (n=165).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 35% (n=22).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +28.8pp; 95% confidence interval +12.8pp to +44.8pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

71 instances

4.2%

Library

45.1%

Battlefield

19.7%

Graveyard

4.2%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Urtet, Remnant of Memnarch 10 decks
2 Sonic the Hedgehog 9 decks
3 Urza, Lord High Artificer 7 decks
4 Vraska, Soul of Stone 7 decks
5 Tony Stark // The Invincible Iron Man 6 decks
6 Breya, Etherium Shaper 5 decks
7 Optimus Prime, Hero // Optimus Prime, Autobot Leader 5 decks
8 Dr. Eggman 4 decks
9 Emry, Lurker of the Loch 4 decks
10 Bilbo, Thief in the Night 3 decks

Card text

Fateful Discovery

Enchantment

Whenever an artifact you control enters, draw a card.

The Hobbit (HOB) · Mythic · Illustrated by Irvin Rodriguez

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 700,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.