Festering Thicket
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Festering Thicket
Final zone distribution
292 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Dina, Essence Brewer
150 decks
-
2
Auntie Ool, Cursewretch
118 decks
-
3
Hearthhull, the Worldseed
103 decks
-
4
Szarel, Genesis Shepherd
37 decks
-
5
Witherbloom, the Balancer
17 decks
-
6
Blech, Loafing Pest
11 decks
-
7
The Reaper, King No More
11 decks
-
8
Ygra, Eater of All
11 decks
-
9
High Perfect Morcant
9 decks
-
10
Chief of the Wilds
6 decks
The "good card" funnel
1084 brought · 518 playersOnce cast, 90% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 25% of the time (n=143) , vs 23% when it never left the library (n=538).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 21% (n=54).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +2.1pp; 95% confidence interval -2.5pp to +6.7pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.