Live Play Data

Fiery Confluence

· Sorcery · Avatar: The Last Airbender Eternal (TLE)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

818

Decks Running

386

Median Cast Turn

7.0

Drawn → Played

58%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=98

11%

63%

T6-9

16%

T10+

Median 7.0 P25 6 · P75 9 · max 16

On curve 9% (7 / 98 cast on T4) Cast same turn as drawn 27%

The "good card" funnel

818 brought · 355 players

Brought to game

818

Ever drawn

168

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

≥ -5.5pp

Players who cast this card win 28% of the time (n=93) , vs 24% when it never left the library (n=550).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 28% (n=63).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +3.9pp; 95% confidence interval -5.5pp to +13.2pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

180 instances

7.8%

Library

3.9%

Battlefield

51.1%

Graveyard

11.7%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Pantlaza, Sun-Favored 67 decks
2 Indoraptor, the Perfect Hybrid 27 decks
3 Kardur, Doomscourge 27 decks
4 Sonic the Hedgehog 23 decks
5 Ojer Axonil, Deepest Might // Temple of Power 17 decks
6 Riku of Many Paths 14 decks
7 Judith, Carnage Connoisseur 12 decks
8 Torbran, Thane of Red Fell 12 decks
9 Wayta, Trainer Prodigy 9 decks
10 Neheb, the Eternal 7 decks

Card text

Fiery Confluence

Sorcery

Choose three. You may choose the same mode more than once. • Fiery Confluence deals 1 damage to each creature. • Fiery Confluence deals 2 damage to each opponent. • Destroy target artifact.

Avatar: The Last Airbender Eternal (TLE) · Rare · Illustrated by Salvatorre Zee Yazzie

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 690,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.