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Fiery Confluence

· Sorcery · Avatar: The Last Airbender Eternal (TLE)

Decklist Inclusion

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Times Brought

479

Decks Running

241

In Decks

1582

Decklist Inclusion

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

Card text

Fiery Confluence

Sorcery

Choose three. You may choose the same mode more than once. • Fiery Confluence deals 1 damage to each creature. • Fiery Confluence deals 2 damage to each opponent. • Destroy target artifact.

Avatar: The Last Airbender Eternal (TLE) · Rare · Illustrated by Salvatorre Zee Yazzie

Final zone distribution

116 instances

8.6%

Library

4.3%

Battlefield

51.7%

Graveyard

12.9%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Pantlaza, Sun-Favored 42 decks
2 Kardur, Doomscourge 20 decks
3 Indoraptor, the Perfect Hybrid 18 decks
4 Sonic the Hedgehog 14 decks
5 Ojer Axonil, Deepest Might // Temple of Power 11 decks
6 Judith, Carnage Connoisseur 7 decks
7 Neheb, the Eternal 6 decks
8 Riku of Many Paths 6 decks
9 Torbran, Thane of Red Fell 6 decks
10 Wayta, Trainer Prodigy 6 decks

The "good card" funnel

479 brought · 225 players

Brought to game

479

Ever drawn

110

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

≥ -10.9pp

Players who cast this card win 27% of the time (n=61) , vs 26% when it never left the library (n=324).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 27% (n=42) — about the same as leaving it in the library. Those players survived long enough to draw it, so the gap above is about the card resolving, not just about surviving.

Observed gap +0.7pp; 95% confidence interval -10.9pp to +12.3pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

First-cast turn

n=65

14%

60%

T6-9

17%

T10+

Median 7 P25 6 · P75 8 · max 16

On curve 9% (5 / 65 cast on T4) Cast same turn as drawn 25%

65 of 100 times cast 65%

Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Basic play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games; the full deep-dive page needs a larger, more diverse sample (at least 300 tracked games played by 10 or more different pilots, with no single pilot over 40 percent of the copies). Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 660,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.