Live Play Data

Fiery Confluence

· Sorcery · Avatar: The Last Airbender Eternal (TLE)

Live Inclusion

Buy on TCGplayer

Times Brought

1098

Decks Running

522

Median Cast Turn

7.0

Drawn → Played

61%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=142

11%

65%

T6-9

16%

T10+

Median 7.0 P25 6 · P75 9 · max 16

On curve 8% (9 / 142 cast on T4) Cast same turn as drawn 27%

The "good card" funnel

1098 brought · 474 players

Brought to game

1098

Ever drawn

234

Reached battlefield

142

Still on board at game end

≥ -1.9pp

Players who cast this card win 29% of the time (n=134) , vs 23% when it never left the library (n=722).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 26% (n=84).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +6.1pp; 95% confidence interval -1.9pp to +14.0pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

251 instances

6.0%

Library

4.8%

Battlefield

53.0%

Graveyard

10.0%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Pantlaza, Sun-Favored 92 decks
2 Indoraptor, the Perfect Hybrid 39 decks
3 Kardur, Doomscourge 36 decks
4 Sonic the Hedgehog 32 decks
5 Ojer Axonil, Deepest Might // Temple of Power 23 decks
6 Wayta, Trainer Prodigy 15 decks
7 Riku of Many Paths 14 decks
8 Judith, Carnage Connoisseur 13 decks
9 Torbran, Thane of Red Fell 13 decks
10 Kalemne, Disciple of Iroas 9 decks

Card text

Fiery Confluence

Sorcery

Choose three. You may choose the same mode more than once. • Fiery Confluence deals 1 damage to each creature. • Fiery Confluence deals 2 damage to each opponent. • Destroy target artifact.

Avatar: The Last Airbender Eternal (TLE) · Rare · Illustrated by Salvatorre Zee Yazzie

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 720,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.