Live Play Data

Finale of Promise

· Sorcery · Outlaws of Thunder Junction Commander (OTC)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

177

Decks Running

Median Cast Turn

Drawn → Played

51%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=23

13%

57%

T6-9

T10+

Median 8 P25 4 · P75 9 · max 13

Cast same turn as drawn 52%

The "good card" funnel

177 brought · 90 players

Brought to game

177

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

≥ -9.7pp

Players who cast this card win 37% of the time (n=21) , vs 26% when it never left the library (n=103).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 24% (n=20).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +10.9pp; 95% confidence interval -9.7pp to +31.6pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

52 instances

3.8%

Library

17.3%

Battlefield

50.0%

Graveyard

7.7%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Stella Lee, Wild Card 21 decks
2 Inalla, Archmage Ritualist 9 decks
3 The Scarlet Witch 4 decks
4 Zada, Hedron Grinder 4 decks
5 Ral, Monsoon Mage // Ral, Leyline Prodigy 3 decks
6 Taii Wakeen, Perfect Shot 3 decks
7 Zaffai, Thunder Conductor 3 decks
8 Eris, Roar of the Storm 2 decks
9 Gandalf, Party Guest 2 decks
10 Krark, the Thumbless 2 decks

Card text

Finale of Promise

Sorcery

You may cast up to one target instant card and/or up to one target sorcery card from your graveyard each with mana value X or less without paying their mana costs. If a spell cast this way would be put into your graveyard, exile it instead. If X is 10 or more, copy each of those spells twice. You may choose new targets for the copies.

Outlaws of Thunder Junction Commander (OTC) · Mythic · Illustrated by Jaime Jones

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 760,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.