Fire Diamond
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Fire Diamond
Final zone distribution
286 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Lathliss, Dragon Queen
156 decks
-
2
Krenko, Mob Boss
66 decks
-
3
Strefan, Maurer Progenitor
26 decks
-
4
Chiss-Goria, Forge Tyrant
13 decks
-
5
Ovika, Enigma Goliath
13 decks
-
6
Ghyrson Starn, Kelermorph
10 decks
-
7
Kaalia of the Vast
8 decks
-
8
Kratos, God of War
8 decks
-
9
Shadow the Hedgehog
8 decks
-
10
Daretti, Scrap Savant
7 decks
The "good card" funnel
1364 brought · 580 playersOnce cast, 88% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 26% of the time (n=154) , vs 25% when it never left the library (n=775).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 28% (n=45).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +0.6pp; 95% confidence interval -3.7pp to +4.9pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.