Live Play Data

Flamebraider

· Creature — Elemental Bard · Lorwyn Eclipsed (ECL)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

570

Decks Running

237

Median Cast Turn

Drawn → Played

76%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=105

24%

13%

30%

T6-9

13%

T10+

Median 5 P25 2 · P75 8 · max 17

On curve 30% (25 / 105 cast on T2) Cast same turn as drawn 42%

The "good card" funnel

570 brought · 213 players

Brought to game

570

Ever drawn

138

Reached battlefield

105

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 52% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ +2.2pp

Players who cast this card win 35% of the time (n=95) , vs 23% when it never left the library (n=340).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 46% (n=30).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +11.8pp; 95% confidence interval +2.2pp to +21.4pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

154 instances

1.3%

Library

35.7%

Battlefield

40.3%

Graveyard

7.8%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Ashling, the Limitless 189 decks
2 Pako, Arcane Retriever 13 decks
3 Mass of Mysteries 11 decks
4 Horde of Notions 4 decks
5 Omnath, Locus of the Roil 4 decks
6 Animar, Soul of Elements 2 decks
7 Ashling the Pilgrim 2 decks
8 Omnath, Locus of Rage 2 decks
9 Ashling, Flame Dancer 1 decks
10 Ashling, Rekindled // Ashling, Rimebound 1 decks

Card text

Flamebraider

Creature — Elemental Bard

: Add two mana in any combination of colors. Spend this mana only to cast Elemental spells or activate abilities of Elemental sources.

2 / 2

Lorwyn Eclipsed (ECL) · Uncommon · Illustrated by Pete Venters

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 730,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.