Live Play Data

Flare of Fortitude

· Instant · Modern Horizons 3 (MH3)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

2604

Decks Running

1093

Median Cast Turn

Drawn → Played

60%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=345

64%

T6-9

26%

T10+

Median 8 P25 7 · P75 10 · max 19

On curve 3% (8 / 345 cast on T4) Cast same turn as drawn 21%

The "good card" funnel

2605 brought · 905 players

Brought to game

2605

Ever drawn

575

Reached battlefield

345

Still on board at game end

≥ +0.8pp

Players who cast this card win 35% of the time (n=324) , vs 29% when it never left the library (n=1740).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 33% (n=207).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +5.9pp; 95% confidence interval +0.8pp to +11.1pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

643 instances

2.5%

Library

5.4%

Battlefield

52.6%

Graveyard

6.7%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Giada, Font of Hope 112 decks
2 Winota, Joiner of Forces 18 decks
3 Arabella, Abandoned Doll 17 decks
4 Myrel, Shield of Argive 16 decks
5 Anti-Venom, Horrifying Healer 14 decks
6 Breena, the Demagogue 14 decks
7 Isshin, Two Heavens as One 14 decks
8 Shilgengar, Sire of Famine 14 decks
9 Lightning, Army of One 13 decks
10 Ardbert, Warrior of Darkness 12 decks

Card text

Flare of Fortitude

Instant

You may sacrifice a nontoken white creature rather than pay this spell's mana cost. Until end of turn, your life total can't change, and permanents you control gain hexproof and indestructible.

Modern Horizons 3 (MH3) · Rare · Illustrated by Winona Nelson

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 770,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.