Live Play Data

Flare of Fortitude

· Instant · Modern Horizons 3 (MH3)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

889

Decks Running

441

Median Cast Turn

Drawn → Played

59%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=107

65%

T6-9

22%

T10+

Median 8 P25 6 · P75 9 · max 15

On curve 3% (3 / 107 cast on T4) Cast same turn as drawn 16%

The "good card" funnel

890 brought · 379 players

Brought to game

890

Ever drawn

182

Reached battlefield

107

Still on board at game end

≥ -3.8pp

Players who cast this card win 36% of the time (n=102) , vs 30% when it never left the library (n=607).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 35% (n=65).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +5.4pp; 95% confidence interval -3.8pp to +14.6pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

207 instances

1.9%

Library

1.9%

Battlefield

59.4%

Graveyard

7.2%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

Card text

Flare of Fortitude

Instant

You may sacrifice a nontoken white creature rather than pay this spell's mana cost. Until end of turn, your life total can't change, and permanents you control gain hexproof and indestructible.

Modern Horizons 3 (MH3) · Rare · Illustrated by Winona Nelson

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 680,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.