Live Play Data

Flickering Ward

· Enchantment — Aura · Secrets of Strixhaven Commander (SOC)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

499

Decks Running

261

Median Cast Turn

Drawn → Played

79%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=111

13%

15%

16%

44%

T6-9

T10+

Median 5 P25 4 · P75 7 · max 13

On curve 3% (3 / 111 cast on T1) Cast same turn as drawn 37%

The "good card" funnel

499 brought · 246 players

Brought to game

499

Ever drawn

141

Reached battlefield

111

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 64% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -0.6pp

Players who cast this card win 31% of the time (n=96) , vs 22% when it never left the library (n=296).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 26% (n=26).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +9.3pp; 95% confidence interval -0.6pp to +19.2pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

146 instances

3.4%

Library

48.6%

Battlefield

25.3%

Graveyard

0.7%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

Card text

Flickering Ward

Enchantment — Aura

Enchant creature As this Aura enters, choose a color. Enchanted creature has protection from the chosen color. This effect doesn't remove this Aura. {W}

: Return this Aura to its owner's hand.

Secrets of Strixhaven Commander (SOC) · Uncommon · Illustrated by Pauline Voss

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 710,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.