Frontier Bivouac
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Final zone distribution
171 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Ashling, the Limitless
51 decks
-
2
Ureni of the Unwritten
30 decks
-
3
Miirym, Sentinel Wyrm
27 decks
-
4
The Ur-Dragon
23 decks
-
5
The Swarmlord
20 decks
-
6
Flubs, the Fool
13 decks
-
7
Cosmic Spider-Man
11 decks
-
8
Animar, Soul of Elements
9 decks
-
9
Bruce Banner // The Incredible Hulk
9 decks
-
10
Magus Lucea Kane
9 decks
The "good card" funnel
724 brought · 352 playersOnce cast, 94% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 28% of the time (n=100) , vs 23% when it never left the library (n=445).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 29% (n=28) — about the same as leaving it in the library. Those players survived long enough to draw it, so the gap above is about the card resolving, not just about surviving.
Observed gap +5.1pp; 95% confidence interval -0.2pp to +10.4pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.
First-cast turn
n=124Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.