Card Preview

Gamble

· Sorcery · Dominaria Remastered (DMR)

Decklist Inclusion

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Times Brought

460

Decks Running

231

In Decks

2333

Decklist Inclusion

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

Final zone distribution

121 instances

2.5%

Library

2.5%

Battlefield

63.6%

Graveyard

8.3%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Krenko, Mob Boss 13 decks
2 Zndrsplt, Eye of Wisdom 7 decks
3 Mr. House, President and CEO 6 decks
4 Doctor Doom, King of Latveria 4 decks
5 Etali, Primal Conqueror // Etali, Primal Sickness 4 decks
6 Kaalia of the Vast 4 decks
7 Kenrith, the Returned King 4 decks
8 Norman Osborn // Green Goblin 4 decks
9 Rograkh, Son of Rohgahh 4 decks
10 Yusri, Fortune's Flame 4 decks

The "good card" funnel

460 brought · 190 players

Brought to game

460

Ever drawn

105

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

≥ -0.1pp

Players who cast this card win 37% of the time (n=60) , vs 26% when it never left the library (n=321).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 33% (n=39) — about the same as leaving it in the library. Those players survived long enough to draw it, so the gap above is about the card resolving, not just about surviving.

Observed gap +11.5pp; 95% confidence interval -0.1pp to +23.1pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

First-cast turn

n=61

11%

10%

16%

39%

T6-9

T10+

Median 5 P25 3 · P75 8 · max 12

On curve 11% (7 / 61 cast on T1) Cast same turn as drawn 63%

61 of 100 times cast 61%

Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Basic play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games; the full deep-dive page needs a larger, more diverse sample (at least 300 tracked games played by 10 or more different pilots, with no single pilot over 40 percent of the copies). Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting.