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Gamble

· Sorcery · Dominaria Remastered (DMR)

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Times Brought

1035

Decks Running

504

In Decks

—

Decklist Inclusion

—

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.

Final zone distribution

214 instances

1.4%

Library

2.8%

Battlefield

67.3%

Graveyard

9.3%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Krenko, Mob Boss 37 decks
2 Vivi Ornitier 22 decks
3 Etali, Primal Conqueror // Etali, Primal Sickness 18 decks
4 Zndrsplt, Eye of Wisdom 12 decks
5 Rograkh, Son of Rohgahh 11 decks
6 Kaalia of the Vast 10 decks
7 Mr. House, President and CEO 9 decks
8 Najeela, the Blade-Blossom 9 decks
9 Ob Nixilis, Captive Kingpin 9 decks
10 Kratos, God of War 8 decks

The "good card" funnel

1035 brought · 394 players

Brought to game

1035

Ever drawn

196

Reached battlefield

138

Still on board at game end

≥ -5.4pp

Players who cast this card win 26% of the time (n=118) , vs 26% when it never left the library (n=632).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 27% (n=44) — about the same as leaving it in the library. Those players survived long enough to draw it, so the gap above is about the card resolving, not just about surviving.

Observed gap -0.5pp; 95% confidence interval -5.4pp to +4.4pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

First-cast turn

n=138

25%

16%

14%

23%

T6-9

T10+

Median 4.0 P25 1 · P75 6 · max 18

On curve 25% (35 / 138 cast on T1) Cast same turn as drawn 64%

1053 of 300 tracked games 99%

Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Basic play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games; the full deep-dive page needs a larger, more diverse sample (at least 300 tracked games played by 10 or more different pilots, with no single pilot over 40 percent of the copies). Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 650,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.