bolt Game Changer on the MTG Commander Game Changers list format_list_numbered #1 red tutor
Gamble card art
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Gamble

{R} · Sorcery · Dominaria Remastered (DMR)
Times Brought
3189
Decks Running
1490
In Decks
—
Decklist Inclusion
—
Format

Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.

Card text
Gamble card

Gamble

{R}
Sorcery
Search your library for a card, put that card into your hand, discard a card at random, then shuffle.
Dominaria Remastered (DMR) · Rare · Illustrated by Andrew Goldhawk

Final zone distribution

707 instances
2.7%
Library
2.4%
Battlefield
67.5%
Graveyard
8.6%
Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

The "good card" funnel

3189 brought · 1087 players
Brought to game
3189
Ever drawn
639
Reached battlefield
449
Still on board at game end
17
≥ -0.7pp

Players who cast this card win 28% of the time (n=351) , vs 26% when it never left the library (n=1835).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 25% (n=140).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +2.1pp; 95% confidence interval -0.7pp to +4.9pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

First-cast turn

n=449
20%
T1
10%
T2
12%
T3
13%
T4
16%
T5
26%
T6-9
4%
T10+
Median 4 P25 2 · P75 6 · max 18
On curve 20% (92 / 449 cast on T1) Cast same turn as drawn 56%

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 750,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.