Live Play Data

Goblin Instigator

· Creature — Goblin Rogue · March of the Machine Commander (MOC)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

188

Decks Running

Median Cast Turn

5.0

Drawn → Played

86%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=42

21%

12%

21%

29%

T6-9

T10+

Median 5.0 P25 2 · P75 6 · max 11

On curve 26% (9 / 42 cast on T2) Cast same turn as drawn 43%

The "good card" funnel

188 brought · 82 players

Brought to game

188

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 64% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -10.2pp

Players who cast this card win 35% of the time (n=38) , vs 30% when it never left the library (n=113).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +5.3pp; 95% confidence interval -10.2pp to +20.8pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

55 instances

5.5%

Library

49.1%

Battlefield

27.3%

Graveyard

5.5%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Krenko, Mob Boss 48 decks
2 Zada, Hedron Grinder 10 decks
3 Purphoros, God of the Forge 3 decks
4 Arabella, Abandoned Doll 2 decks
5 Norin the Wary 2 decks
6 The Great Goblin 2 decks
7 Garna, Bloodfist of Keld 1 decks
8 General Kreat, the Boltbringer 1 decks
9 Gev, Scaled Scorch 1 decks
10 Ghyrson Starn, Kelermorph 1 decks

Card text

Goblin Instigator

Creature — Goblin Rogue

When this creature enters, create a 1/1 red Goblin creature token.

1 / 1

March of the Machine Commander (MOC) · Common · Illustrated by Filip Burburan

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 680,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.