Graven Cairns
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Graven Cairns
Final zone distribution
247 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Valgavoth, Harrower of Souls
81 decks
-
2
Terra, Herald of Hope
71 decks
-
3
Fire Lord Azula
24 decks
-
4
Smaug the Impenetrable
23 decks
-
5
Kuja, Genome Sorcerer // Trance Kuja, Fate Defied
19 decks
-
6
Kaalia of the Vast
18 decks
-
7
The Great Goblin
17 decks
-
8
Deadpool, Trading Card
16 decks
-
9
Edgar Markov
15 decks
-
10
Queen Marchesa
14 decks
The "good card" funnel
1089 brought · 511 playersOnce cast, 98% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 28% of the time (n=134) , vs 27% when it never left the library (n=601).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 31% (n=21).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +1.6pp; 95% confidence interval -3.1pp to +6.2pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.