Live Play Data

Great Oak Guardian

· Creature — Treefolk · Commander 2019 (C19)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

331

Decks Running

138

Median Cast Turn

Drawn → Played

51%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=45

24%

51%

T6-9

11%

T10+

Median 6 P25 5 · P75 8 · max 13

On curve 58% (9 / 45 cast on T6) Cast same turn as drawn 33%

The "good card" funnel

331 brought · 176 players

Brought to game

331

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 62% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ +0.2pp

Players who cast this card win 33% of the time (n=40) , vs 18% when it never left the library (n=198).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 16% (n=37).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +15.0pp; 95% confidence interval +0.2pp to +29.8pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

93 instances

2.2%

Library

30.1%

Battlefield

31.2%

Graveyard

6.5%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

Card text

Great Oak Guardian

Creature — Treefolk

Flash (You may cast this spell any time you could cast an instant.) Reach When this creature enters, creatures target player controls get +2/+2 until end of turn. Untap them.

4 / 5

Commander 2019 (C19) · Uncommon · Illustrated by Steven Belledin

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 740,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.