Grim Hireling
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Grim Hireling
Final zone distribution
192 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Jin Sakai, Ghost of Tsushima
40 decks
-
2
Prosper, Tome-Bound
33 decks
-
3
Marneus Calgar
31 decks
-
4
Smaug the Impenetrable
21 decks
-
5
Mr. House, President and CEO
19 decks
-
6
Nalia de'Arnise
19 decks
-
7
Vihaan, Goldwaker
18 decks
-
8
Shadow the Hedgehog
17 decks
-
9
Smaug, Wicked Worm
15 decks
-
10
Gonti, Canny Acquisitor
12 decks
The "good card" funnel
975 brought · 441 playersOnce cast, 61% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 31% of the time (n=93) , vs 26% when it never left the library (n=561).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 21% (n=54).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +5.0pp; 95% confidence interval -0.3pp to +10.3pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.