Live Play Data

Guiding Hydra

· Creature — Hydra Horror · Reality Fracture (FRA)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

144

Decks Running

Median Cast Turn

Drawn → Played

73%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=29

10%

14%

45%

T6-9

17%

T10+

Median 6 P25 4 · P75 8 · max 12

Cast same turn as drawn 22%

The "good card" funnel

145 brought · 60 players

Brought to game

145

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 24% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -9.8pp

Players who cast this card win 29% of the time (n=28) , vs 21% when it never left the library (n=92).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +8.5pp; 95% confidence interval -9.8pp to +26.9pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

42 instances

2.4%

Library

16.7%

Battlefield

52.4%

Graveyard

9.5%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Tidus, Yuna's Guardian 7 decks
2 Denzilore Fatehold 6 decks
3 Toph, the First Metalbender 5 decks
4 Kwia Vigorbloom 4 decks
5 Dyadrine, Synthesis Amalgam 3 decks
6 Hamza, Guardian of Arashin 3 decks
7 Helga, Skittish Seer 3 decks
8 Elda, Conjurer of Spectacle 2 decks
9 Kudo, King Among Bears 2 decks
10 Polukranos Reborn // Polukranos, Engine of Ruin 2 decks

Card text

Guiding Hydra

Creature — Hydra Horror

This creature enters with X +1/+1 counters on it. At the beginning of combat on your turn, you may remove a +1/+1 counter from this creature. If you do, put a +1/+1 counter on each other creature you control.

1 / 0

Reality Fracture (FRA) · Rare · Illustrated by Jason Mowry

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 740,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.