Live Play Data

Hedron Crab

· Creature — Crab · Tarkir: Dragonstorm Commander (TDC)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

965

Decks Running

434

Median Cast Turn

Drawn → Played

83%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=189

20%

10%

12%

35%

T6-9

T10+

Median 5 P25 2 · P75 7 · max 19

On curve 20% (38 / 189 cast on T1) Cast same turn as drawn 68%

The "good card" funnel

965 brought · 392 players

Brought to game

965

Ever drawn

227

Reached battlefield

189

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 48% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ +1.5pp

Players who cast this card win 27% of the time (n=169) , vs 19% when it never left the library (n=567).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 18% (n=32).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +8.4pp; 95% confidence interval +1.5pp to +15.4pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

308 instances

1.3%

Library

29.5%

Battlefield

47.4%

Graveyard

10.4%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

Card text

Hedron Crab

Creature — Crab

Landfall — Whenever a land you control enters, target player mills three cards. (They put the top three cards of their library into their graveyard.)

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Tarkir: Dragonstorm Commander (TDC) · Uncommon · Illustrated by Jesper Ejsing

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 700,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.