Hellkite Courser
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Final zone distribution
96 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
The Ur-Dragon
74 decks
-
2
Ureni of the Unwritten
35 decks
-
3
Etali, Primal Conqueror // Etali, Primal Sickness
21 decks
-
4
Obeka, Brute Chronologist
9 decks
-
5
Miirym, Sentinel Wyrm
8 decks
-
6
Lathliss, Dragon Queen
3 decks
-
7
Atarka, World Render
2 decks
-
8
Eshki, Temur's Roar
2 decks
-
9
Kaalia of the Vast
2 decks
-
10
Klauth, Unrivaled Ancient
2 decks
The "good card" funnel
394 brought · 154 playersOnce cast, 71% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 34% of the time (n=55) , vs 26% when it never left the library (n=235).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 21% (n=25) — about the same as leaving it in the library. Those players survived long enough to draw it, so the gap above is about the card resolving, not just about surviving.
Observed gap +8.1pp; 95% confidence interval +1.3pp to +15.0pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.
First-cast turn
n=62Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.