Hermes, Overseer of Elpis
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Hermes, Overseer of Elpis
Final zone distribution
89 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Y'shtola, Night's Blessed
141 decks
-
2
Choco, Seeker of Paradise
15 decks
-
3
Denzilore Fatehold
10 decks
-
4
Gandalf, Party Guest
10 decks
-
5
Alisaie Leveilleur
4 decks
-
6
Loki, Lord of Misrule
4 decks
-
7
Kastral, the Windcrested
3 decks
-
8
Alphinaud Leveilleur
2 decks
-
9
Eluge, the Shoreless Sea
2 decks
-
10
Iroh, Grand Lotus
2 decks
The "good card" funnel
391 brought · 220 playersOnce cast, 61% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 23% of the time (n=47) , vs 22% when it never left the library (n=218).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 19% (n=21).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +1.5pp; 95% confidence interval -6.4pp to +9.4pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.