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Hero's Downfall

· Instant · Foundations (FDN)

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Times Brought

270

Decks Running

119

In Decks

—

Decklist Inclusion

—

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.

Card text

Hero's Downfall

Instant

Destroy target creature or planeswalker.

Foundations (FDN) · Uncommon · Illustrated by Chris Rallis

Final zone distribution

47 instances

6.4%

Library

2.1%

Battlefield

59.6%

Graveyard

4.3%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 K'rrik, Son of Yawgmoth 6 decks
2 Dihada, Binder of Wills 4 decks
3 The Scarab God 4 decks
4 Edgar Markov 3 decks
5 Maha, Its Feathers Night 3 decks
6 Marrow-Gnawer 3 decks
7 Toxrill, the Corrosive 3 decks
8 Umbris, Fear Manifest 3 decks
9 Vincent Valentine // Galian Beast 3 decks
10 Alela, Artful Provocateur 2 decks

The "good card" funnel

270 brought · 108 players

Brought to game

270

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

≥ -1.6pp

Players who cast this card win 32% of the time (n=22) , vs 23% when it never left the library (n=186).

Observed gap +9.2pp; 95% confidence interval -1.6pp to +20.1pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

First-cast turn

n=26

23%

12%

19%

31%

T6-9

12%

T10+

Median 5.0 P25 3 · P75 8 · max 17

On curve 27% (6 / 26 cast on T3) Cast same turn as drawn 38%

26 of 100 times cast 26%

Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Basic play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games; the full deep-dive page needs a larger, more diverse sample (at least 300 tracked games played by 10 or more different pilots, with no single pilot over 40 percent of the copies). Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 650,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.