Live Play Data

Hopeful Initiate

· Creature — Human Warlock · Innistrad Remastered (INR)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

309

Decks Running

110

Median Cast Turn

3.0

Drawn → Played

76%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=50

22%

16%

14%

10%

30%

T6-9

T10+

Median 3.0 P25 2 · P75 6 · max 13

On curve 22% (11 / 50 cast on T1) Cast same turn as drawn 62%

The "good card" funnel

309 brought · 102 players

Brought to game

309

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 44% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -9.7pp

Players who cast this card win 30% of the time (n=46) , vs 26% when it never left the library (n=212).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 30% (n=15).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +4.1pp; 95% confidence interval -9.7pp to +17.9pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

74 instances

4.1%

Library

29.7%

Battlefield

41.9%

Graveyard

9.5%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

Card text

Hopeful Initiate

Creature — Human Warlock

Training (Whenever this creature attacks with another creature with greater power, put a +1/+1 counter on this creature.) {2}

, Remove two +1/+1 counters from among creatures you control: Destroy target artifact or enchantment.

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Innistrad Remastered (INR) · Rare · Illustrated by Dan Murayama Scott

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 760,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.