Live Play Data

Hopeless Nightmare

· Enchantment · Wilds of Eldraine (WOE)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

110

Decks Running

Median Cast Turn

—

Drawn → Played

83%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=19

Not enough observed casts yet to show a reliable distribution.

The "good card" funnel

113 brought · 65 players

Brought to game

113

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

≥ -21.0pp

Players who cast this card win 17% of the time (n=15) , vs 18% when it never left the library (n=74).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap -1.4pp; 95% confidence interval -21.0pp to +18.2pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

26 instances

34.6%

Battlefield

50.0%

Graveyard

7.7%

Exile

7.7%

Hand

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Tinybones, Bauble Burglar 14 decks
2 Braids, Arisen Nightmare 11 decks
3 Ghen, Arcanum Weaver 7 decks
4 Squall, SeeD Mercenary 6 decks
5 Tinybones, Trinket Thief 4 decks
6 Zoyowa Lava-Tongue 3 decks
7 Tergrid, God of Fright // Tergrid's Lantern 2 decks
8 Tinybones, the Pickpocket 2 decks
9 Victor, Valgavoth's Seneschal 2 decks
10 Aclazotz, Deepest Betrayal // Temple of the Dead 1 decks

Card text

Hopeless Nightmare

Enchantment

When this enchantment enters, each opponent discards a card and loses 2 life. When this enchantment is put into a graveyard from the battlefield, scry 2. {2}

: Sacrifice this enchantment.

Wilds of Eldraine (WOE) · Common · Illustrated by Dominik Mayer

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 700,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.