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Horizon of Progress

Land · Modern Horizons 3 Commander (M3C)

Decklist Inclusion

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Times Brought

578

Decks Running

282

In Decks

1550

Decklist Inclusion

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

Card text

Horizon of Progress

Land

, Pay 1 life: Add one mana of any type that a land you control could produce. {3}

: You may put a land card from your hand onto the battlefield tapped. {1}

, Sacrifice this land: Draw a card.

Modern Horizons 3 Commander (M3C) · Rare · Illustrated by Julian Kok Joon Wen

Final zone distribution

178 instances

2.2%

Library

39.9%

Battlefield

29.2%

Graveyard

9.0%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

The "good card" funnel

579 brought · 230 players

Brought to game

579

Ever drawn

149

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 72% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -3.4pp

Players who cast this card win 32% of the time (n=89) , vs 25% when it never left the library (n=359).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 45% (n=46) — about the same as leaving it in the library. Those players survived long enough to draw it, so the gap above is about the card resolving, not just about surviving.

Observed gap +6.6pp; 95% confidence interval -3.4pp to +16.6pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

First-cast turn

n=99

16%

15%

17%

31%

T6-9

T10+

Median 5 P25 3 · P75 7 · max 12

Cast same turn as drawn 46%

99 of 100 times cast 99%

Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Basic play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games; the full deep-dive page needs a larger, more diverse sample (at least 300 tracked games played by 10 or more different pilots, with no single pilot over 40 percent of the copies). Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 660,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.