Live Play Data

Horizon of Progress

Land · Modern Horizons 3 Commander (M3C)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

1351

Decks Running

612

Median Cast Turn

5.0

Drawn → Played

68%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=244

11%

16%

17%

30%

T6-9

T10+

Median 5.0 P25 3 · P75 7 · max 14

Cast same turn as drawn 45%

The "good card" funnel

1352 brought · 509 players

Brought to game

1352

Ever drawn

361

Reached battlefield

244

Still on board at game end

190

Once cast, 78% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ +0.2pp

Players who cast this card win 32% of the time (n=217) , vs 26% when it never left the library (n=814).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 36% (n=102).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +6.7pp; 95% confidence interval +0.2pp to +13.2pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

416 instances

1.9%

Library

45.7%

Battlefield

24.3%

Graveyard

7.2%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

Card text

Horizon of Progress

Land

, Pay 1 life: Add one mana of any type that a land you control could produce. {3}

: You may put a land card from your hand onto the battlefield tapped. {1}

, Sacrifice this land: Draw a card.

Modern Horizons 3 Commander (M3C) · Rare · Illustrated by Julian Kok Joon Wen

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 720,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.