Live Play Data

Incinerator of the Guilty

· Creature — Dragon · Murders at Karlov Manor (MKM)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

171

Decks Running

Median Cast Turn

Drawn → Played

81%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=35

17%

51%

T6-9

14%

T10+

Median 7 P25 5 · P75 9 · max 14

On curve 49% (5 / 35 cast on T6) Cast same turn as drawn 29%

The "good card" funnel

175 brought · 73 players

Brought to game

175

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 54% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -5.3pp

Players who cast this card win 41% of the time (n=35) , vs 30% when it never left the library (n=115).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +11.3pp; 95% confidence interval -5.3pp to +27.9pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

49 instances

4.1%

Library

38.8%

Battlefield

26.5%

Graveyard

12.2%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

Card text

Incinerator of the Guilty

Creature — Dragon

Flying, trample Whenever this creature deals combat damage to a player, you may collect evidence X. When you do, this creature deals X damage to each creature and planeswalker that player controls. (To collect evidence X, exile cards with total mana value X or greater from your graveyard.)

6 / 6

Murders at Karlov Manor (MKM) · Mythic · Illustrated by Lucas Graciano

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 690,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.