Live Play Data

Inevitable Betrayal

Sorcery · Modern Horizons 2 (MH2)

Live Inclusion

Buy on TCGplayer

Times Brought

263

Decks Running

130

Median Cast Turn

Drawn → Played

71%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=65

12%

22%

40%

T6-9

14%

T10+

Median 6 P25 4 · P75 7 · max 13

Cast same turn as drawn 42%

The "good card" funnel

266 brought · 123 players

Brought to game

266

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

≥ -6.2pp

Players who cast this card win 34% of the time (n=61) , vs 27% when it never left the library (n=143).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 37% (n=23).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +6.9pp; 95% confidence interval -6.2pp to +19.9pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

96 instances

2.1%

Library

7.3%

Battlefield

59.4%

Graveyard

8.3%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

Card text

Inevitable Betrayal

Sorcery

Suspend 3— {1}

(Rather than cast this card from your hand, pay {1}

and exile it with three time counters on it. At the beginning of your upkeep, remove a time counter. When the last is removed, you may cast it without paying its mana cost.) Search target opponent's library for a creature card and put that card onto the battlefield under your control. Then that player shuffles.

Modern Horizons 2 (MH2) · Rare · Illustrated by Franz Vohwinkel

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 700,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.