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Jeska's Will card art
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Jeska's Will

{2} {R} · Sorcery · Murders at Karlov Manor Commander (MKC)
Times Brought
2136
Decks Running
1090
In Decks
Decklist Inclusion
Format

Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.

Card text
Jeska's Will card

Jeska's Will

{2} {R}
Sorcery
Choose one. If you control a commander as you cast this spell, you may choose both instead. • Add {R} for each card in target opponent's hand. • Exile the top three cards of your library. You may play them this turn.
Murders at Karlov Manor Commander (MKC) · Rare · Illustrated by Izzy

Final zone distribution

479 instances
2.3%
Library
4.8%
Battlefield
58.2%
Graveyard
8.1%
Exile

The "good card" funnel

2138 brought · 750 players
Brought to game
2138
Ever drawn
447
Reached battlefield
290
Still on board at game end
23
≥ -0.4pp

Players who cast this card win 28% of the time (n=245) , vs 25% when it never left the library (n=1297).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 30% (n=128) — about the same as leaving it in the library. Those players survived long enough to draw it, so the gap above is about the card resolving, not just about surviving.

Observed gap +3.0pp; 95% confidence interval -0.4pp to +6.4pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

First-cast turn

n=290
3%
T1
10%
T2
12%
T3
16%
T4
18%
T5
35%
T6-9
7%
T10+
Median 5.0 P25 3 · P75 7 · max 15
On curve 25% (34 / 290 cast on T3) Cast same turn as drawn 38%
2683 of 300 tracked games 99%

Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Basic play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games; the full deep-dive page needs a larger, more diverse sample (at least 300 tracked games played by 10 or more different pilots, with no single pilot over 40 percent of the copies). Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 660,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.