bolt Game Changer on the MTG Commander Game Changers list collections_bookmark Part of Commander Legends: Battle for Baldur's Gate
Jeska's Will card art
Live Play Data

Jeska's Will

{2} {R} · Sorcery · Murders at Karlov Manor Commander (MKC)
14%
Live Inclusion
Times Brought
7118
Decks Running
3088
Median Cast Turn
5
Drawn → Played
71%
Format

First-cast turn

n=1193
1%
T1
5%
T2
12%
T3
17%
T4
18%
T5
41%
T6-9
6%
T10+
Median 5 P25 4 · P75 7 · max 16
On curve 18% (138 / 1193 cast on T3) Cast same turn as drawn 36%

The "good card" funnel

7119 brought · 1917 players
Brought to game
7119
Ever drawn
1679
Reached battlefield
1193
Still on board at game end
91
≥ +8.5pp

Players who cast this card win 37% of the time (n=1080) , vs 26% when it never left the library (n=4498).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 26% (n=432).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +11.4pp; 95% confidence interval +8.5pp to +14.4pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

1866 instances
3.9%
Library
4.9%
Battlefield
60.4%
Graveyard
10.5%
Exile
Card text
Jeska's Will card

Jeska's Will

{2} {R}
Sorcery
Choose one. If you control a commander as you cast this spell, you may choose both instead. • Add {R} for each card in target opponent's hand. • Exile the top three cards of your library. You may play them this turn.
Murders at Karlov Manor Commander (MKC) · Rare · Illustrated by Izzy

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 720,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.