Live Play Data

Kellan, Inquisitive Prodigy // Tail the Suspect

· Legendary Creature — Human Faerie Detective // Sorcery — Adventure · Murders at Karlov Manor (MKM)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

197

Decks Running

103

Median Cast Turn

6.0

Drawn → Played

63%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=40

18%

10%

38%

T6-9

18%

T10+

Median 6.0 P25 4 · P75 9 · max 14

On curve 35% (4 / 40 cast on T4) Cast same turn as drawn 43%

The "good card" funnel

197 brought · 102 players

Brought to game

197

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 43% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -5.1pp

Players who cast this card win 31% of the time (n=37) , vs 20% when it never left the library (n=112).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 24% (n=22).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +11.4pp; 95% confidence interval -5.1pp to +28.0pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

72 instances

6.9%

Library

23.6%

Battlefield

34.7%

Graveyard

12.5%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Kellan, the Kid 20 decks
2 Morska, Undersea Sleuth 14 decks
3 Beluna Grandsquall // Seek Thrills 10 decks
4 Eshki Dragonclaw 6 decks
5 Tamiyo, Inquisitive Student // Tamiyo, Seasoned Scholar 6 decks
6 Flubs, the Fool 4 decks
7 Gorion, Wise Mentor 4 decks
8 Doc Aurlock, Grizzled Genius 3 decks
9 Lonis, Cryptozoologist 3 decks
10 Aragorn, the Uniter 2 decks

Card text

Kellan, Inquisitive Prodigy

Legendary Creature — Human Faerie Detective

Flying, vigilance Whenever Kellan attacks, destroy up to one target artifact. If you controlled that permanent, draw a card.

3 / 4

Tail the Suspect

Sorcery — Adventure

Investigate. You may play an additional land this turn. (Then exile this card. You may cast the creature later from exile.)

Murders at Karlov Manor (MKM) · Rare · Illustrated by Joshua Raphael

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 760,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.