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Part of Murders at Karlov Manor
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Legendary Creature — Human Faerie Detective // Sorcery — Adventure
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Murders at Karlov Manor (MKM)
Live Play Data
Kellan, Inquisitive Prodigy // Tail the Suspect
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Legendary Creature — Human Faerie Detective // Sorcery — Adventure
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Murders at Karlov Manor (MKM)
1%
Live Inclusion
Times Brought
160
Decks Running
84
Median Cast Turn
6.0
Drawn → Played
65%
Format
First-cast turn
n=32
3%
T1
3%
T2
22%
T3
6%
T4
9%
T5
44%
T6-9
13%
T10+
Median
6.0
P25
3
· P75
8
· max
13
On curve
34%
(2 / 32 cast on T4)
Cast same turn as drawn
48%
The "good card" funnel
160 brought · 83 playersBrought to game
160
Ever drawn
49
Reached battlefield
32
Still on board at game end
16
Once cast, 50% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
≥ -9.9pp
Players who cast this card win 29% of the time (n=30) , vs 21% when it never left the library (n=93).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 16% (n=17).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +8.5pp; 95% confidence interval -9.9pp to +26.9pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.
Final zone distribution
55 instances5.5%
Library
29.1%
Battlefield
29.1%
Graveyard
10.9%
Exile
Commanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Kellan, the Kid
15 decks
-
2
Morska, Undersea Sleuth
10 decks
-
3
Beluna Grandsquall // Seek Thrills
8 decks
-
4
Eshki Dragonclaw
6 decks
-
5
Tamiyo, Inquisitive Student // Tamiyo, Seasoned Scholar
5 decks
-
6
Doc Aurlock, Grizzled Genius
3 decks
-
7
Flubs, the Fool
3 decks
-
8
Lonis, Cryptozoologist
3 decks
-
9
Aragorn, the Uniter
2 decks
-
10
Gorion, Wise Mentor
2 decks
Card text
Kellan, Inquisitive Prodigy
Legendary Creature — Human Faerie Detective
Flying, vigilance
Whenever Kellan attacks, destroy up to one target artifact. If you controlled that permanent, draw a card.
3 / 4
Tail the Suspect
Sorcery — Adventure
Investigate. You may play an additional land this turn. (Then exile this card. You may cast the creature later from exile.)
Murders at Karlov Manor (MKM)
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Rare
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Illustrated by Joshua Raphael
Frequently Asked
Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 720,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.