Live Play Data

Lightning Bolt

· Instant · Marvel Super Heroes Commander (MSC)

10%

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

5624

Decks Running

2597

Median Cast Turn

6.0

Drawn → Played

72%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=880

10%

13%

17%

44%

T6-9

10%

T10+

Median 6.0 P25 4 · P75 7 · max 19

On curve 1% (12 / 880 cast on T1) Cast same turn as drawn 35%

The "good card" funnel

5632 brought · 1933 players

Brought to game

5632

Ever drawn

1229

Reached battlefield

880

Still on board at game end

≥ +4.4pp

Players who cast this card win 32% of the time (n=818) , vs 25% when it never left the library (n=3688).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 24% (n=301).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +7.7pp; 95% confidence interval +4.4pp to +11.0pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

1381 instances

3.9%

Library

5.0%

Battlefield

61.1%

Graveyard

10.5%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Lathliss, Dragon Queen 161 decks
2 Vivi Ornitier 142 decks
3 Fire Lord Azula 112 decks
4 Krenko, Mob Boss 98 decks
5 Smaug the Impenetrable 90 decks
6 Kuja, Genome Sorcerer // Trance Kuja, Fate Defied 80 decks
7 Magda, Brazen Outlaw 39 decks
8 Prismari, the Inspiration 37 decks
9 Etali, Primal Conqueror // Etali, Primal Sickness 36 decks
10 Norin the Wary 34 decks

Card text

Lightning Bolt

Instant

Lightning Bolt deals 3 damage to any target.

Marvel Super Heroes Commander (MSC) · Uncommon · Illustrated by Milivoj Ćeran

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 750,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.