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Lightning Bolt

· Instant · Marvel Super Heroes Commander (MSC)

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Times Brought

224

Decks Running

143

In Decks

—

Decklist Inclusion

—

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.

Final zone distribution

53 instances

3.8%

Library

5.7%

Battlefield

66.0%

Graveyard

9.4%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Vivi Ornitier 13 decks
2 Krenko, Mob Boss 9 decks
3 Fire Lord Azula 8 decks
4 Etali, Primal Conqueror // Etali, Primal Sickness 5 decks
5 Alania, Divergent Storm 3 decks
6 Judith, Carnage Connoisseur 3 decks
7 Kratos, God of War 3 decks
8 Lightning, Army of One 3 decks
9 Spider-Man 2099 3 decks
10 Valgavoth, Harrower of Souls 3 decks

The "good card" funnel

224 brought · 125 players

Brought to game

224

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

≥ -10.0pp

Players who cast this card win 26% of the time (n=35) , vs 27% when it never left the library (n=166).

Observed gap -1.1pp; 95% confidence interval -10.0pp to +7.8pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

First-cast turn

n=35

14%

23%

37%

T6-9

T10+

Median 5 P25 4 · P75 7 · max 11

On curve 0% (0 / 35 cast on T1) Cast same turn as drawn 36%

35 of 100 times cast 35%

Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Basic play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games; the full deep-dive page needs a larger, more diverse sample (at least 300 tracked games played by 10 or more different pilots, with no single pilot over 40 percent of the copies). Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting.