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Lightning Bolt

· Instant · Marvel Super Heroes Commander (MSC)

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Times Brought

3738

Decks Running

1788

In Decks

—

Decklist Inclusion

—

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.

Card text

Lightning Bolt

Instant

Lightning Bolt deals 3 damage to any target.

Marvel Super Heroes Commander (MSC) · Uncommon · Illustrated by Milivoj Ćeran

Final zone distribution

793 instances

2.4%

Library

6.2%

Battlefield

64.8%

Graveyard

9.1%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Lathliss, Dragon Queen 145 decks
2 Vivi Ornitier 100 decks
3 Krenko, Mob Boss 93 decks
4 Fire Lord Azula 75 decks
5 Smaug the Impenetrable 58 decks
6 Kuja, Genome Sorcerer // Trance Kuja, Fate Defied 41 decks
7 Etali, Primal Conqueror // Etali, Primal Sickness 31 decks
8 Deadpool, Trading Card 29 decks
9 Kratos, God of War 29 decks
10 Magda, Brazen Outlaw 27 decks

The "good card" funnel

3752 brought · 1383 players

Brought to game

3752

Ever drawn

737

Reached battlefield

553

Still on board at game end

≥ -0.3pp

Players who cast this card win 28% of the time (n=440) , vs 26% when it never left the library (n=2158).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 29% (n=129).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +2.2pp; 95% confidence interval -0.3pp to +4.7pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

First-cast turn

n=553

13%

16%

39%

T6-9

T10+

Median 5 P25 4 · P75 7 · max 27

On curve 3% (19 / 553 cast on T1) Cast same turn as drawn 38%

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 750,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.