Live Play Data

Longshot, Rebel Bowman

· Legendary Creature — Human Rebel Ally · Avatar: The Last Airbender Eternal (TLE)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

454

Decks Running

234

Median Cast Turn

6.0

Drawn → Played

65%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=74

12%

20%

46%

T6-9

T10+

Median 6.0 P25 4 · P75 7 · max 12

On curve 27% (9 / 74 cast on T4) Cast same turn as drawn 35%

The "good card" funnel

454 brought · 217 players

Brought to game

454

Ever drawn

110

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 57% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ +4.7pp

Players who cast this card win 40% of the time (n=67) , vs 23% when it never left the library (n=299).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 25% (n=35).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +16.8pp; 95% confidence interval +4.7pp to +28.9pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

125 instances

0.8%

Library

32.8%

Battlefield

30.4%

Graveyard

13.6%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Iroh, Grand Lotus 22 decks
2 Fire Lord Azula 21 decks
3 Lorehold, the Historian 20 decks
4 Sokka, Tenacious Tactician 15 decks
5 Kuja, Genome Sorcerer // Trance Kuja, Fate Defied 13 decks
6 Ojer Axonil, Deepest Might // Temple of Power 11 decks
7 Indoraptor, the Perfect Hybrid 8 decks
8 Thor, God of Thunder 8 decks
9 Vivi Ornitier 8 decks
10 Ashling, Rekindled // Ashling, Rimebound 4 decks

Card text

Longshot, Rebel Bowman

Legendary Creature — Human Rebel Ally

Reach (This creature can block creatures with flying.) Noncreature spells you cast cost {1}

less to cast. Whenever you cast a noncreature spell, Longshot deals 2 damage to each opponent.

3 / 3

Avatar: The Last Airbender Eternal (TLE) · Uncommon · Illustrated by Morry Hollowell

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 700,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.