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Longshot, Rebel Bowman card art
Live Play Data

Longshot, Rebel Bowman

{3} {R} · Legendary Creature — Human Rebel Ally · Avatar: The Last Airbender Eternal (TLE)
1%
Live Inclusion
Buy on TCGplayer
Times Brought
387
Decks Running
205
Median Cast Turn
5.0
Drawn → Played
65%
Format
Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=62
0%
T1
3%
T2
15%
T3
13%
T4
21%
T5
42%
T6-9
6%
T10+
Median 5.0 P25 4 · P75 7 · max 12
On curve 31% (8 / 62 cast on T4) Cast same turn as drawn 40%

The "good card" funnel

387 brought · 193 players
Brought to game
387
Ever drawn
92
Reached battlefield
60
Still on board at game end
36

Once cast, 60% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ +5.8pp

Players who cast this card win 44% of the time (n=55) , vs 24% when it never left the library (n=255).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 22% (n=29).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +19.3pp; 95% confidence interval +5.8pp to +32.8pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

107 instances
0.9%
Library
33.6%
Battlefield
29.0%
Graveyard
15.0%
Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games
Card text
Longshot, Rebel Bowman card

Longshot, Rebel Bowman

{3} {R}
Legendary Creature — Human Rebel Ally
Reach (This creature can block creatures with flying.) Noncreature spells you cast cost {1} less to cast. Whenever you cast a noncreature spell, Longshot deals 2 damage to each opponent.
3 / 3
Avatar: The Last Airbender Eternal (TLE) · Uncommon · Illustrated by Morry Hollowell

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 690,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.