Luck Bobblehead
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Luck Bobblehead
Final zone distribution
95 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Mr. House, President and CEO
82 decks
-
2
Caesar, Legion's Emperor
53 decks
-
3
Orvar, the All-Form
5 decks
- 4 Ultron, Artificial Malevolence 5 decks
-
5
Wyll, Blade of Frontiers
4 decks
-
6
Dogmeat, Ever Loyal
3 decks
-
7
Whtz, the Bibliophile
3 decks
-
8
Brudiclad, Telchor Engineer
2 decks
-
9
Chira, All In
2 decks
-
10
Hugh, First of Many
2 decks
The "good card" funnel
394 brought · 187 playersOnce cast, 92% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 15% of the time (n=61) , vs 20% when it never left the library (n=219).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 22% (n=16).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap -5.0pp; 95% confidence interval -11.7pp to +1.6pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.