Maelstrom of the Spirit Dragon
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Maelstrom of the Spirit Dragon
Final zone distribution
150 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
The Ur-Dragon
136 decks
-
2
Ureni of the Unwritten
30 decks
-
3
Miirym, Sentinel Wyrm
29 decks
-
4
Tiamat
14 decks
-
5
Smaug the Magnificent
8 decks
-
6
Smaug the Impenetrable
7 decks
-
7
Lathliss, Dragon Queen
6 decks
-
8
Rivaz of the Claw
6 decks
-
9
Ganax, Astral Hunter
5 decks
-
10
Sivitri, Dragon Master
5 decks
The "good card" funnel
711 brought · 271 playersOnce cast, 87% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 29% of the time (n=98) , vs 27% when it never left the library (n=369).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 34% (n=17).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +2.7pp; 95% confidence interval -2.8pp to +8.2pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.