Mana Confluence
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Mana Confluence
Final zone distribution
400 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
The Ur-Dragon
40 decks
-
2
Y'shtola, Night's Blessed
22 decks
-
3
Edgar Markov
21 decks
-
4
Kinnan, Bonder Prodigy
18 decks
-
5
The First Sliver
18 decks
-
6
Vivi Ornitier
18 decks
-
7
Atraxa, Praetors' Voice
17 decks
-
8
Etali, Primal Conqueror // Etali, Primal Sickness
16 decks
-
9
Kaalia of the Vast
16 decks
-
10
Esika, God of the Tree // The Prismatic Bridge
13 decks
The "good card" funnel
1825 brought · 599 playersOnce cast, 92% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 28% of the time (n=237) , vs 25% when it never left the library (n=1055).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 29% (n=63).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +3.1pp; 95% confidence interval -0.3pp to +6.5pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.