Marsh Flats
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Final zone distribution
272 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
The Ur-Dragon
22 decks
-
2
Edgar Markov
17 decks
-
3
Y'shtola, Night's Blessed
17 decks
-
4
Esika, God of the Tree // The Prismatic Bridge
11 decks
-
5
Kaalia of the Vast
11 decks
-
6
Mr. House, President and CEO
11 decks
-
7
Atraxa, Praetors' Voice
9 decks
-
8
The First Sliver
9 decks
-
9
Jodah, the Unifier
8 decks
-
10
Sauron, the Dark Lord
8 decks
The "good card" funnel
1149 brought · 367 playersOnce cast, 9% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 29% of the time (n=171) , vs 26% when it never left the library (n=716).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 24% (n=45) — about the same as leaving it in the library. Those players survived long enough to draw it, so the gap above is about the card resolving, not just about surviving.
Observed gap +2.9pp; 95% confidence interval -1.1pp to +6.9pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.
First-cast turn
n=195Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.