Mines of Moria
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Mines of Moria
Final zone distribution
152 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Thorin, King of Durin's Folk
40 decks
-
2
Smaug the Magnificent
21 decks
-
3
Smaug the Impenetrable
20 decks
-
4
Magda, Brazen Outlaw
16 decks
-
5
Sauron, the Dark Lord
16 decks
-
6
Dáin of the Ancient Halls
11 decks
-
7
Aragorn, the Uniter
9 decks
-
8
Kratos, God of War
9 decks
-
9
Sauron, Lord of the Rings
8 decks
-
10
Prosper, Tome-Bound
6 decks
The "good card" funnel
623 brought · 280 playersOnce cast, 99% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 23% of the time (n=99) , vs 26% when it never left the library (n=356).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 19% (n=18).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap -3.0pp; 95% confidence interval -8.6pp to +2.6pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.