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Most Decrepit Old Bird // Speak Secrets

· Creature — Bird // Sorcery — Adventure · The Hobbit (HOB)

Decklist Inclusion

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Times Brought

136

Decks Running

In Decks

112

Decklist Inclusion

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

Card text

Most Decrepit Old Bird

Creature — Bird

Flying Threshold — This creature gets +1/+1 as long as there are seven or more cards in your graveyard.

1 / 1

Speak Secrets

Sorcery — Adventure

Mill four cards, then put an instant or sorcery card from among them into your hand.

The Hobbit (HOB) · Rare · Illustrated by Josu Solano

Final zone distribution

38 instances

2.6%

Library

34.2%

Battlefield

39.5%

Graveyard

15.8%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Massimo, the Magician 5 decks
2 Bilbo, Thief in the Night 4 decks
3 Bard, King of Dale 2 decks
4 Choco, Seeker of Paradise 2 decks
5 The Lord of the Eagles 2 decks
6 Thranduil, the Elvenking 2 decks
7 Aragorn, the Uniter 1 decks
8 Bruce Banner // The Incredible Hulk 1 decks
9 Eris, Roar of the Storm 1 decks
10 Kess, Dissident Mage 1 decks

The "good card" funnel

136 brought · 31 players

Brought to game

136

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 52% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -11.2pp

Players who cast this card win 32% of the time (n=23) , vs 22% when it never left the library (n=84).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +9.2pp; 95% confidence interval -11.2pp to +29.5pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

First-cast turn

n=25

12%

20%

24%

20%

T6-9

12%

T10+

Median 4 P25 2 · P75 6 · max 15

On curve 12% (3 / 25 cast on T1) Cast same turn as drawn 40%

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 730,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.