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Mothdust Changeling card art
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Mothdust Changeling

{U} · Creature — Shapeshifter · Modern Masters (MMA)
0%
Decklist Inclusion
Buy on TCGplayer
Times Brought
143
Decks Running
64
In Decks
467
Decklist Inclusion
0%
Format
Multiplayer 1v1
Card text
Mothdust Changeling card

Mothdust Changeling

{U}
Creature — Shapeshifter
Changeling (This card is every creature type.) Tap an untapped creature you control: This creature gains flying until end of turn.
1 / 1
Modern Masters (MMA) · Common · Illustrated by Shelly Wan

Final zone distribution

39 instances
5.1%
Library
35.9%
Battlefield
33.3%
Graveyard
15.4%
Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

The "good card" funnel

143 brought · 67 players
Brought to game
143
Ever drawn
32
Reached battlefield
26
Still on board at game end
14

Once cast, 54% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -4.8pp

Players who cast this card win 29% of the time (n=24) , vs 15% when it never left the library (n=90).

Observed gap +13.9pp; 95% confidence interval -4.8pp to +32.5pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

First-cast turn

n=26
12%
T1
12%
T2
8%
T3
19%
T4
12%
T5
38%
T6-9
0%
T10+
Median 4.5 P25 3 · P75 7 · max 9
On curve 12% (3 / 26 cast on T1) Cast same turn as drawn 48%
26 of 100 times cast 26%

Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Basic play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games; the full deep-dive page needs a larger, more diverse sample (at least 300 tracked games played by 10 or more different pilots, with no single pilot over 40 percent of the copies). Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 660,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.