Mothdust Changeling card art
Card Preview

Mothdust Changeling

{U} · Creature — Shapeshifter · Modern Masters (MMA)
Times Brought
289
Decks Running
124
In Decks
—
Decklist Inclusion
—
Format

Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.

Card text
Mothdust Changeling card

Mothdust Changeling

{U}
Creature — Shapeshifter
Changeling (This card is every creature type.) Tap an untapped creature you control: This creature gains flying until end of turn.
1 / 1
Modern Masters (MMA) · Common · Illustrated by Shelly Wan

Final zone distribution

65 instances
1.5%
Library
47.7%
Battlefield
27.7%
Graveyard
12.3%
Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

The "good card" funnel

290 brought · 115 players
Brought to game
290
Ever drawn
55
Reached battlefield
46
Still on board at game end
31

Once cast, 67% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -1.8pp

Players who cast this card win 30% of the time (n=35) , vs 23% when it never left the library (n=152).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +7.3pp; 95% confidence interval -1.8pp to +16.4pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

First-cast turn

n=46
26%
T1
9%
T2
11%
T3
15%
T4
2%
T5
37%
T6-9
0%
T10+
Median 4.0 P25 1 · P75 6 · max 9
On curve 26% (12 / 46 cast on T1) Cast same turn as drawn 70%

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 760,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.